Focus on daily practical operations in the A-share market to ensure retail investors don't lose their way!If you are not a long-term investor and want to survive in the A-share market,you must understand that a meticulous layout plan can only provide a good start,and strict trading discipline is what leads to fruitful results!
Market Trend Analysis: On Monday,the A-share market and the ChiNext Index experienced a synchronized rebound.Both indices closed with a significant lower shadow,indicating that there was still considerable divergence at the opening this morning due to favorable news over the weekend.However,the strength of the buying funds during the trading session gradually unified the divergence.From a technical perspective,both the market and the ChiNext Index have temporarily stabilized above the 10-day moving average.The trading volume also increased appropriately compared to last Friday,reaching 1.6 trillion yuan!
Market Tracking: On Monday,there were more rising than falling stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets,with over 5,000 stocks rising and less than 300 falling.The profit effect was quite obvious,but there were only 120 stocks hitting the upper limit,indicating that the entire market was not particularly frantic.Looking at the sectoral gains and losses,many sectors such as Huawei concept,military equipment,debt restructuring concept,diversified finance,and consumer electronics were among the leaders.Huawei's Euler led the two markets with a sector index gain approaching the daily limit.There was not a single sector that fell; however,consumer-related sectors like airport and shipping,tourism and hotels,duty-free shops,and dairy were relatively lagging,a theme that has not been a focus of institutional funds,and the pressure on these sectors is also normal.In addition,the securities sector also showed relatively weak performance.
News Tracking: 1.The central bank released key financial data for the first three quarters,with new credit of 16.02 trillion yuan and a cumulative social financing increase of 25.66 trillion yuan for the first three quarters!2.The 30-year government bond futures suddenly plummeted at the end of the day,indicating that a large amount of funds are flowing from the bond market into the stock market!3.The photovoltaic industry had a full communication and exchange on "strengthening industry self-discipline,preventing 'involution-style' vicious competition,strengthening the market's survival of the fittest mechanism,and smoothing the exit channels for backward and inefficient production capacity" and reached a consensus on the healthy and sustainable development of the industry.
Market Capital Flow: While the market stopped falling on Monday,the willingness of institutions and hot money to buy increased,indicating that after the market stopped falling,the large funds' bottom-fishing actions were more obvious,and the shrinkage of institutional sell orders showed that the main force still had a reluctance to sell during the rebound.Looking at the capital flow in the sectors,institutions have recently been paying high attention to newly listed stocks,and the semiconductors that were continuously sold high last week showed bottom-fishing actions at relatively low positions on Monday.Hot money has shifted its focus to the debt restructuring concept,but institutions have not yet followed up.For more data,see "A-Share Hotspots" tomorrow morning.
[Operation Review]
Clearing Operations: None at present.
Position Establishment Operations: Xinli Finance 600318,Jiuding Investment 600053,diversified finance,both stocks fluctuated and strengthened throughout the day,did not meet the low absorption condition for a decline,
abandoned.
Position Adjustment Results: On Monday,the return rate increased significantly,basically recovering the losses from last Friday.The six stocks held in hand rebounded to varying degrees,with the largest increase in Shenzhen City Exchange 301091,which rose by more than 10%,and the smallest increase in Tongfei Shares 300990,which almost closed flat.Since neither of the two target positions provided a low absorption opportunity,no entry was made,so the position is still stable at around 60%,covering multiple sectors including digital currency,diversified finance,photolithography machines,real estate,vehicle networking,and semiconductors.
[Core Hotspots and Stock Pool Adjustment]**Hot Spot Adjustments:**
-调入 Hot Spots:次新股,半导体.
-调出 Hot Spots:固态电池.
**Individual Stock Adjustments:**
-调入 Individual Stocks: 星宸科技 (301536),盛景微 (603375),both are次新股 + 半导体.韦尔股份 (603501),北京君正 (300223),好上好 (001298),all are semiconductors.(Note!The news and capital conditions of the newly added individual stocks have met the tracking conditions,but further opportunities need to be sought in technical aspects.)
-调出 Individual Stocks: 京华激光 (603607),波长光电 (301421),both are photolithography machines.海泰发展 (600082),real estate.青岛双星 (000599),equity transfer.
**Core Hot Spots and Individual Stock Tracking:**
-Recent Mainline Hot Spots (with significant institutional participation): 半导体,photolithography machines.The same theme experienced a pullback to the 10-day moving average on Monday morning and encountered support,leading to a rebound.Currently,there is still some distance from the 5-day moving average,and it will oscillate between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages for the next few days until a directional choice is made.数字货币,多元金融,stopped falling in advance without touching the 10-day moving average and rebounded back above the 5-day moving average,showing signs of re-entering an upward channel.房地产,has been rebounding based on the 10-day moving average in recent trading days,but still failed to break through the 5-day moving average pressure on Monday.车联网,has a similar trend to semiconductors,rebounding after pulling back to the 10-day moving average,but still not back above the 5-day moving average.
-Recent Non-Mainline Hot Spots (with limited institutional participation or no institutional participation): 化债概念,broke through the 5-day moving average and entered a strong position under the stimulus of significant favorable news.However,trading data shows that it was driven by speculative capital on Monday,with limited institutional involvement.造船,rebounded in advance on Monday without touching the 10-day moving average support,but did not break through the 5-day moving average to turn strong.股权转让,rebounded by stepping on the 10-day moving average,but there is still room from the 5-day moving average pressure,and it has not completed the transition from weak to strong.证券,once fell through the 10-day moving average during the trading day,but eventually pulled out a long lower shadow,stabilizing on the key support of the 10-day moving average.银行,has been fluctuating around the 5-day moving average recently,and steadily strengthened on Monday by stepping on the 5-day moving average.
**Strong Zone Individual Stocks:**
好上好,博思软件,陕国投A,保变电气,海联讯,麦克奥迪.The aforementioned stocks are operating above the 5-day moving average and have not moved far away from the 5-day moving average to form technical overbought conditions,staying in a strong channel with a stable trend.
**Turnaround Zone Individual Stocks:**
北京君正,韦尔股份,盛景微,星宸科技,金证股份,天阳科技,中科金财,翠微股份,华金资本,瑞达期货,国投资本,国网英大,万马科技,深城交,宜通世纪,国中水务,张江高科,同飞股份,江波龙.The aforementioned stocks are operating between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.As long as the 10-day moving average is not broken,they will not turn weak,and they can turn strong by getting back above the 5-day moving average!
**Defense Zone Individual Stocks:**
电子城.The aforementioned stock has adjusted to key short-term support levels such as the 20-day,30-day,or 60-day moving averages.If the key moving averages are not broken,there is a trend of rebound in the short term!**Strategy and Planning**
Position Management: On Monday,the market rebounded prematurely without touching the support level of the 10-day moving average.Although it did not break through the 5-day moving average to enter the upward channel,it did halt the downward trend.Since the market remains stable above the 10-day moving average and institutional buying has been almost consistently strong recently,the position limit can be controlled between 70% and full capacity.Currently,only 60% of the position is held,so there is room to add positions on Tuesday.Considering the distribution of the held stocks' sectors,recent main and non-main hot spots,and phase performance,the direction for adding positions can be semiconductors,diversified finance,and the Internet of Vehicles.
Tracking Targets: Star Chen Technology 301536,newly listed + semiconductors,within a 2-point increase,layout 20% if the 10-day moving average is not broken.Hao Shang Hao 001298,semiconductors,within a 1-point increase,layout 20% if the 5-day moving average is not broken.If both stocks meet the entry conditions,choose one out of two.
Holding Strategy: Hua Jin Capital 000532,diversified finance,hold based on the 10-day moving average.Zhong Ke Jin Cai 002657,digital currency,hold based on the 10-day moving average.Tong Fei Shares 300990,photolithography machine,clear the position if it cannot stand firm on the 10-day moving average.Shenzhen City Exchange 301091,Internet of Vehicles,hold based on the 10-day moving average.Shenzhen Housing A 000029,real estate,hold based on the price of 13.8 yuan.Jiang Bo Long 301308,high performance growth + memory chip,medium-term holding.(Consider reducing positions or taking profits if the held stocks surge significantly and do not hit the upper limit.)
